Rate watch

Mortgage rates today

Official Bank of Canada numbers, updated daily, with the one distinction most rate pages get wrong.

Short answer

As of Oct 15, 2026, the Bank of Canada prime rate is 4.45% and the policy rate is 2.25%. The 5-year Government of Canada bond yield, which drives fixed mortgage pricing, is 3.55%. The Bank estimates the average variable mortgage rate at 3.57%. Posted rates published by lenders run roughly two points higher than what borrowers actually pay, so they are not a guide to your rate. Any mortgage must also qualify at the greater of your contract rate plus two points or 5.25%.

4.45%
Prime rate
Oct 14, 2026
3.55%
5-year GoC bond yield
Oct 14, 2026
3.57%
Est. variable rate
Oct 15, 2026
5.25%+
Stress test floor
greater of contract +2%

Bank of Canada, updated daily. These are official reference rates, not a quote.

The distinction that matters

Most rate pages quote the Bank of Canada's conventional mortgage series and call it today's rate. That series is the posted rate, currently 6.19% for five years. Almost nobody pays it. Lenders discount heavily off posted, so a real five-year quote lands well below that figure.

What actually moves your rate: fixed pricing follows the 5-year Government of Canada bond yield, currently 3.55%. Variable pricing is quoted as prime minus a discount, and prime is 4.45%. Watch those two numbers and you will see rate moves before the headlines.

This is a rate watch, not a quote. Mortgage brokerage is a separate licence class from real estate under the Real Estate Council of Alberta. For an actual rate, talk to a licensed mortgage broker or your lender. Happy to introduce you to brokers who do good work.

Every number, with its source

RateCurrentAs ofVerify
Prime rate4.45%Oct 14, 2026V80691311
Bank of Canada policy rate2.25%Oct 14, 2026V39079
5-year Government of Canada bond yield3.55%Oct 14, 2026BD.CDN.5YR.DQ.YLD
Estimated variable mortgage rate (estimate)3.57%Oct 15, 2026BROKER_AVERAGE_5YR_VRM
Conventional 5-year mortgage (posted) (posted, not achievable)6.19%Oct 14, 2026V80691335
Conventional 1-year mortgage (posted) (posted, not achievable)5.49%Oct 14, 2026V80691333

Pulled automatically from the Bank of Canada each morning. Every series id links to the Bank's own page for that number, so nothing here has to be taken on trust.

What you actually have to qualify at

Qualifying rate is the greater of the contract rate plus 2 percentage points, or 5.25%. So a 3.57% contract rate is assessed at 5.57%, and that higher number is what decides how much you can borrow.

Applies to insured mortgages and to federally regulated lenders under OSFI B-20.

What can I afford? Payment calculator Renewing soon? Talk to a broker

Canadian mortgages compound semi-annually, not monthly. Every calculator on this site uses that convention; US-style monthly compounding overstates it.

Want a real rate? I'll introduce you personally

The numbers above tell you where the market is. They cannot tell you what you will be offered, because that depends on your income, credit, down payment and the property. That comes from a mortgage broker, and I know several in Calgary who do good work and answer their phone.

Tell me roughly where you are and I will make the introduction myself, to a specific person rather than a form. No cost to you.

Mohammad Emon is a licensed REALTOR® and property manager, not a mortgage broker. This is a personal introduction to a licensed mortgage professional, who arranges the mortgage. Your details are shared only with the broker you are introduced to, and only after you ask.

Bring the broker good questions

An introduction is worth more if you arrive prepared. Four questions that separate a good quote from a cheap-looking one:

Run your own numbers first so the conversation starts from something concrete: what you can afford, or what a payment looks like.

Questions

What is the current prime rate in Canada?

The Bank of Canada prime rate is 4.45% as of Oct 14, 2026. Variable mortgage rates are quoted as prime minus a discount, so prime moving changes variable payments directly.

Why is the posted mortgage rate higher than the rate I was offered?

Posted rates are lender list prices and run roughly two percentage points above what borrowers actually pay. The Bank of Canada publishes the posted conventional 5-year rate at 6.19%, while real discounted quotes land well below it. Use the 5-year Government of Canada bond yield, currently 3.55%, as the better signal for where fixed rates are heading.

What rate do I have to qualify at in Canada?

Qualifying rate is the greater of the contract rate plus 2 percentage points, or 5.25%. The qualifying rate applies to insured mortgages and to federally regulated lenders under OSFI Guideline B-20, and it is what determines your maximum borrowing amount, not your contract rate.

Can you connect me with a mortgage broker in Calgary?

Yes. Mohammad makes the introduction personally, to a specific broker rather than a lead form, at no cost. He is a licensed REALTOR and property manager, not a mortgage broker, so the mortgage itself is arranged by the licensed mortgage professional you are introduced to.

Does a REALTOR arrange mortgages?

No. Mortgage brokerage is a separate licence class from residential real estate under the Real Estate Council of Alberta. A REALTOR can explain how rates affect what you can buy and introduce you to licensed mortgage brokers, but the mortgage itself is arranged by a licensed broker or directly with a lender.

Sources

  1. Bank of Canada: Valet API, interest rate series
  2. Bank of Canada: Prime rate series V80691311
  3. Government of Canada: OSFI Guideline B-20, residential mortgage underwriting

Rules, fees and programs change. Confirm current details with the issuing authority before acting.

Last updated 2026-10-15 · Written by Mohammad Emon, REALTOR® (SRES®) & Licensed Property Manager, KO Realty · RECA licence CON-00133897